← Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC Season #2
Water AlliesTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC Season #2
decks
6
(3.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
35
19-12-4
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.5%
avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
50.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1322
· median 1371
· range 1162–1425
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1236
Q3 1423
1736
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.1% | 9 | 4-4-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -0.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.9% | -7.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.8% | 5 | 3-0-2 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 56.0% | +3.4 |
| Wind Allies | 8.8% | 6 | 4-1-1 | 75.0% | 65.0% | 55.1% | +2.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.8% | +2.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.8% | -7.9 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.5 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tera Tamer | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Water Beast | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
